Application of reliability theory and risk management in sustainable agricultural construction infrastructure in high-risk regions
Martin Vartanov¹ (orcid id: 0009-0009-2883-2785),
Nana Beraia¹* (orcid id: 0000-0001-7763-0121),
Konstantine Bziava¹ (orcid id: 0000-0003-1237-5224),
Marina Shogiradze¹ (orcid id: 0009-0005-7956-2229)
¹ Tsotne Mirtskhulava Water Management Institute of Georgian Technical University, Georgia
Article (PDF)
Abstract:
Reliability theory, probabilistic modeling, and risk management are tools that allow for
deter- mining the probability of correct operation under specific times and conditions, better
under- standing complex real-world systems by accounting for their variability, and reducing
project risk to optimal levels. This study examines the application of reliability theory
to create a robust methodological framework for assessing the reliability of agroecosystems and
their supporting construction and environmental infrastructure. This approach enables a
deeper understanding of the inherent potential of current agricultural production systems,
including storage, technical and water-management infrastructure. Furthermore, it considers
maintain- ing ecological balance within reasonable limits, providing a solid foundation for
defining tactical actions in this regard and aligning with the concept of sustainable development
in civil and environmental engineering.
Keywords: reliability theory, probabilistic modeling, risk management, agricultural construction infrastructure, environmental engineering, sustainable development
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